It pains me greatly that my Maple Leafs are not taking part in this years playoff race. Obviously this has to do with our extended absence from the playoffs, but it hurts more this year because for three quarters of this season we were all set to make our return. The huge, unprecedented collapse has been discussed at length already so I just wanted to one last time voice my disappointment.
So moving forward lets take a look at this years first round match-ups.
Lets start with the East shall we?
1. New York Rangers vs. 8. Ottawa Senators
Let me start by saying that I really hate the Ottawa Senators, so my opinion on how this series will play out may be biased and you may not want to place any bets based on what I say here. Simply put the Senators squeaked into the playoffs and will be put out of their misery quick and painlessly by the Rangers. These are two excellent goaltenders however so my money will be on low scoring games, but the Sens are just outclassed by a talented Rangers team. Had Washington not skipped ahead to the 7th seed on the final day of the season I think the Rangers might have been in trouble, but as it stands the Rangers will easily advance to the second round.
Rangers in 4
2. Boston Bruins vs. Washington Capitals
Let me once again begin by acknowledging my hatred of said team, this time the Boston Bruins. Fuck the Bruins. That being said, I really don’t think it would have mattered to me who the Capitals faced in the first round I would put my money on them advancing. In previous years the Caps breezed in to the playoffs as the favorites and they’ve come up short every time. This year is different however as this is the first year they actually faced some adversity making the playoffs, but thankfully for them they got hot at the right time and steam rolled their way in.
While most people were talking about the Leafs trying to catch Washington in the 8th spot I always knew it was Ottawa we were chasing, but either way, the Leafs came up short and the Caps are in the playoffs playing some of the best hockey they’ve played all year. Expectations for Washington to do anything this season disappeared long ago and I think that’s a huge reason as to why they were able to turn it around. Boston has seen some injuries to key personnel in (Horton and Rask) and Tim Thomas has looked far too human this season to think he can win more than a couple games this round. Boston had a long terrible start to the season, followed by a ridiculously good month or two, followed by a lot of .500 hockey. Not only do I think Washington defeats the defending Stanley Cup champion Bruins, I think they will win the East.
Capitals in 6
3. Florida Panthers vs. 6. New Jersey Devils
While I’m impressed with Florida’s play this season, which was a direct result of excellent off-season acquisitions, they would have been better off not winning their division because drawing the Devils for the first round is not an ideal situation for them, or anyone for that matter. The Devils are like the Red Wings of the East, they are a solid organization who drafts well, plays a great defensive game with all players buying in to the system, and the signing of Kovalchuck is finally starting to pay dividends.
But like I said, the Panthers do have a good team with solid goal-tending from Jose Theodore so I’m not predicting a sweep but if Brodeur doesn’t get you, Hedberg will.
Devils in 6
4. Pittsburgh Penguins vs. 5. Philadelphia Flyers
This series has the potential to be the series of the decade. For those that don’t follow hockey that closely should know this is the same type of rivalry that Toronto has with Ottawa, except they are both really good teams. The goal-tenders for both teams have been terribly inconsistent, especially as of late, and neither has a decent back-up, so I foresee some real barn burners. You have your subplots with Jager and Talbot being ex Penguins, Malkin having a career year, and Crosby returning from his second concussion.
If you can only watch one series this playoffs this is the one.
As to who I think is going to win…fucked if I know. But since I’m making predictions I will have to lean towards the team with home ice.
Penguins in 7
On to the West
1. Vancouver Canucks vs. 8. Los Angeles Kings
I have to admit up front my knowledge of teams in the West is a bit lacking for obvious reasons but I will do my best. Vancouver has captured the Presidents trophy for the second year in a row and I don’t think it makes a lick of difference one way or the other, it’s just a feather in their cap really, because the West is a super tight conference and I think the Conference title is completely up for grabs.
Last I heard Daniel Sedin had a concussion and I have no idea if he is expected to return in time to play in this round, but if he’s unavailable that might make all the difference in the world. The Kings spent most of the last little while holding on to their Division title and ended up losing it on the last day of the season dropping them to the 8th spot, so don’t be fooled by that turn of events, this is a very good team with very good goaltending.
The problem that has plagued LA most of the season is a near complete lack of offence and they tried to address that issue by acquiring Jeff Carter at the trade deadline but his injury woes have kept him from making much of an impact. Much like the Rangers and Sens I think this will be a real low scoring series with many one goal games, and lots of overtime played.
I’m not exactly a big Canuck fan so it pains me to say I think Vancouver takes this series based on playoff experience alone, but look for LA goalie Jonathan Quick to make it an interesting series.
Canucks in 7
2. St. Louis Blues vs. 7. San Jose Sharks
When it comes to the playoffs it seems like the Sharks are always getting the short end of the stick because this year they have drawn the Blues as their first round match-up and I don’t see them winning it, which means another early exit for them. The Sharks have good goal tendings but the Blues have great goaltending. I foresee the Sharks getting frustrated by Elliot and Harding and getting forced in to playing a very defensively loose game and, as they have done all year, the Blues will take advantage of that with a solid group of two-way forwards.
This will be the first round sweep in the West.
Blues in 4
Phoenix Coyotes vs. The Chicago Blackhawks
The Coyotes are of the feel good stories in the NHL, a team that a few seasons ago was on the brink of Bankruptcy and possibly moving to another city, and now they have won their Division and are looking to do some damage in the playoffs. Except I think they made a huge mistake winning their division and have now drawn the Blackhawks as their first round opponent, a team with more points, a better record, and a buttload more talent.
This will be the upset in the West (only in the sense that the 6 seed will have beaten the 3 seed I really don’t think Phoenix is the favorite regardless of the standings)
Blackhawks in 6
4. Nashville Predators vs. 5. Detroit Red Wings
The number 4 and 5 seeds in the West had the same battles that the 4 and 5 seeds had in the east, in that in the final days of the season each were jockeying for home ice advantage and playing against each other. In the East Pittsburgh won and in the West it was the Predators who won, sending Detroit a message by beating them in the motor city to take home ice advantage for the first round.
I admittedly am always predicting an early exit for the Wings and rarely am I right, but this year I think the Preds have got their number, in fact, I think the Preds have everyone’s number because I think they’re going to take the Conference. The Wings are a bit beaten up right now, and they have been for some time, and I think they have some serious goaltending issues and not enough time to figure them out. If it were me deciding I would be starting Joey MacDonald game one but I’m not the coach and I think they’ll obviously go with Jimmy Howard and before the realize they’ve made a mistake it will be too late and neither Conklin nor MacDonald will be able to bail them out.
Predators in 5
So lets see how this all plays out and I will then make some predictions for the second round but as of right now my Stanley Final Prediction is:
The Washington Capitals vs. The Nashville Predators